The Wogster said:
Actually it's a tragedy of errors, most of them local.
* NOLA was built essentially on a sand bar surrounded by salt water marsh.
They built a wall out of earth, drained the middle, and built a city in
the hole, considering that it's in hurricane territory, this should be
considered a "real bad idea".
* NOLA knowing that maintenance of the walls wasn't happening, didn't take
proper action, it's not the wall around the feds that's leaking. It's
often easier to go begging for specific money amounts, for example -- we
are fixing the walls, we need $60 million, the city is putting up $20
million, we would like $20 million from the state, and $20 million from
the feds. They most likely would have gotten it.
* The NOLA mayor should have had a plan other then to yell "run for the
hills, every man for him self, as he climbed into his limo to leave"...
Your assuming that POTUS knows with intent detail exactly what is going on
in every town in the country, he can't. He needs to deal with what are
important issues, and until the dust er water settled in NOLA, it wasn't
even on his agenda, except as maybe a FYI. Considering Florida, which had
at least 3 cat 4 hurricanes cross the state last year, without needing the
feds to take over, it would be a small item indeed, until after the fact.
Hind sight is always 20/20.
I would assume that the President, or in my case Prime Minister, has more
on his daily agenda then to wait for the city mayor and provincial premier
to screw up.
Again it really comes down to not expecting that the city and state
couldn't get their acts together, especially when Florida dealt with 3 of
them last year, and didn't need federal hand holding, for any of them.
W
It is interesting to note that prior to Bush, nobody expected the president
to personally develop an evacuation plan. Now that one was expected, it is
only Bush's problem and all prior presidents are excused from any
responsibility. I personally think that they should have used the
evacuation plan developed during Clinton's presidency.
Everyone who believes that an evacuation plan should have been in place and
executed without hitch is living in a dream world. An evacuation plan would
be almost impossible. First, you would have to decide when an evacuation
plan should be put into effect. This alone makes it unworkable.
What level hurricane do you require to execute a plan - Level 3, 4 or 5? Do
you have a different plan for each level? Who should the plan address?
Does it exist on the local, state or multi-state level? If you plan on a
multi-state level, who is in charge? A state, a committee, or a federal
agency? If on a State level, do you make sure that it doesn't conflict with
adjacent states? If local, who should be shot for stupidity?
When do you execute a plan? When the hurricane is 1, 2, 3, 4 or more days
out? If you execute it in advance, the cone of projection of the path is
wide and how do you know where it is going to hit? Do you evacuate east,
west or north or a combination of these? If the hurricane is headed for New
Orleans, for example, the path might be 50 miles west of the city or 50
miles east, which would definitely affect the direction of evacuation.
Most important, "Where do you evacuate people to"? You probably are only
guessing how many people that the local or state plan would require public
transportation. You would have to have a method of transporting them
immediately available. For 100,000 people, this would require more than a
handful of buses. Where would they go and how would you decide, based on
the direction of evacuation and the level of the hurricane. If a hurricane
hits west of New Orleans, the destination would be very different than if it
hits east. A truly workable plan would identify actual sites that could
take people, how many each site could take, an alternate if that site is
unavailable for some reason, a method for stocking that site with food,
water, cots, etc., well in advance of any emergency, exactly how to get
people to that site, identify support personnel for that site, ensure that
they are on location prior to the evacuation,. and probably 100 other items
that I haven't thought of.
There are probably only about 5,000 other questions that have to be answered
and most of them will conflict with each other based on resources, where the
storm hits, level of the storm and advance notice required. If truth, there
is no way that a good, valid, workable evacuation plan can be formulated.
If the Democrats had been in control in Washington, the same results would
have
happened in New Orleans and the Gulf Coast. The Republicans would be the
ones pointing fingers and blaming the Democratic president. It is all
political and there will, in the end, be nothing tangible accomplished by
all of the finger pointing and blame.
After a false alarm, who is to be shot for spending the millions and
millions (Maybe billions) that were necessary to execute the evacuation
plan. Everyone who was activated, will have to be paid for the time pulled
from their actual employment and I would bet that after a couple of false
alarms, the volunteers would be reduced.
You can't fight mother nature and you can't change human nature.
Don D