Agreed. So, the only incentive is economic --- extending the life of
the tires. But, including the spare in the rotation is a one-time
savings. You can't do this with the second set of tires you have on the
car, since the new tires will have much more tread than the spare ---
even if you buy the Geolanders again. If you buy 5 tires, then you
negate the savings achieved from including the spare in the rotation.
Suppose that a tire lasts 40,000 miles. (The argument below works equally
well for any other number you prefer.)
After a 4-tire rotation, at 40,000 miles those tires are used up. If new
tires can be bought to match the unused spare, then only three have to be
bought and one of the four used ones becomes the spare. Thereafter four tires
must be bought every 40,000 miles.
With a five-tire rotation, the originals will last 50,000 vehicle miles, after
which four tires must be bought (no longer constrained to match the original
equipment), and four more at each 40,000 miles thereafter.
SO:
_______Number of tires purchased_______
Vehicle miles 4-wheel rotation 5-wheel rotation
Total Total
40,000 3 0
50,000 0 3 4
80,000 4 7 0 4
90,000 0 7 4 8
120,000 4 11 0 8
130,000 0 11 4 12
Which way is cheapest depends on how long you plan to keep the car. Note that
if the replacement at 40,000 miles is 4 tires instead of three, either because
tires to match the spare can't be found or because the buyer just wants
something different, then the 4-wheel rotation is never better than the
5-wheel rotation.
HOWEVER: the 5-tire rotation has the advantage that, if one of the tires is
destroyed by a road hazard during the first 50,000 miles, only one, not four,
new tires must be bought. After that, it doesn't matter because either way
the spare won't match the road tires.
I'm guessing that Subaru and others think this one-time savings is not
significant enough for them to have to print 2 sets of instructions for
tire rotation --- one set on instructions for when the spare is new and
another set for when the spare is worn down. (Supposing that a worn down
spare is OK to use during an emergency. Otherwise, you would have to buy
5 tires each time.)
It might not be a bad idea to rotate 5 tires and buy 5 new ones each time.
Here's the above table expanded to show the 5-tire repurchase:
________________Number of tires purchased_______________
Vehicle miles 4-wheel rotation 5-wheel rotation 5-tire repurchase
Total Total Total
40,000 3 0
50,000 0 3 4 5
80,000 4 7 0 4 0 5
90,000 0 7 4 8 0 5
100,000 0 7 0 8 5 10
120,000 4 11 0 8 0 10
130,000 0 11 4 12 0 10
It looks like if you plan to run the car until it falls apart you're better
off rotating and buying 5 tires every time. This has the advantage that if a
tire is destroyed, only one new one is needed, regardless of mileage.
Anyway, the cost of printing two sets of instructions should hardly be a
deciding factor.